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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

data as of 2026-04-05 18:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.1K−$16K$23K
Holders381+36345
Trades4.4K+3264.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−11.3 pp
56.4%
Avg ROI0.6%
+1.6 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.85
+12.11×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.21
+10.47×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.5K
−$11.2K
$17.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.01
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.3%
−125.3 pp
34.0%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.4%
−3.0 pp
76.4%
Bot %73.6%
−2.8 pp
76.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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