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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

data as of 2026-04-13 00:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$85K$101K
Holders376−164540
Trades4.9K−6115.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−27.6 pp
72.6%
Avg ROI3.6%
+1.5 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.29
+22.66×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.98
+18.20×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.4K
−$26.3K
$41.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.2%
−130.7 pp
35.5%
Underwater %87.5%
+53.3 pp
34.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.4%
+10.5 pp
53.9%
Bot %71.2%
+22.2 pp
49.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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