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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 09:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.6K−$32K$39K
Holders453+174279
Trades4.0K+8993.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.6%
−32.2 pp
60.9%
Avg ROI2.8%
+1.1 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.90
+18.13×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.88
+15.13×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
−$12.8K
$19.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.05
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−126.6 pp
32.2%
Underwater %96.3%
+96.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.9%
−2.2 pp
67.1%
Bot %63.6%
−2.0 pp
65.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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