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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 12:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K−$2.7K$9.8K
Holders156+7149
Trades1.3K−831.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
−2.2 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI0.8%
−1.3 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.81
+42.26×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.24
+39.65×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.2K
−$1.0K
$5.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−178.1 pp
80.5%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.2%
+4.9 pp
40.2%
Bot %58.8%
−1.0 pp
59.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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