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Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

data as of 2025-10-01 18:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$555−$42K$42K
Holders75−206281
Trades971+513458
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.2%
+27.2 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI31.7%
+31.7 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.91
+1.91×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.67
+1.67×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$12
$12
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-62.5%
−62.5 pp
0.0%
Underwater %87.5%
+87.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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