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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K+$13K$17K
Holders287−35322
Trades4.6K−1.4K6.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.8%
+10.4 pp
44.4%
Avg ROI2.3%
+0.9 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−19.19×
×19.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−18.62×
×19.25
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.3K
+$9.6K
$3.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.10
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.6%
+152.2 pp
-94.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.7 pp
96.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.9%
+2.2 pp
70.7%
Bot %70.5%
+0.9 pp
69.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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