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Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Michael" or "Dumbledore" on Hot Ones?

data as of 2026-02-19 16:02 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$180+$153$27
Holders2−1315
Trades2−3032
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.9%
−0.6 pp
30.5%
Avg ROI7.1%
+3.9 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.17×
×1.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.15×
×1.15
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$4
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+12.7 pp
-12.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−78.3 pp
78.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−26.1 pp
26.1%
Bot %0.0%
−26.1 pp
26.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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