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Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?

data as of 2026-06-15 17:17 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
29¢
NO
71¢
YES
29¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.1K−$1.8K$2.9K
Holders53+1538
Trades590+329261
NO
71¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.4%
−11.4 pp
66.8%
Avg ROI-1.7%
−12.3 pp
10.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.30
−0.89×
×1.19
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.31
−0.84×
×1.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
+$94
−$83
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL195.9%
+209.1 pp
-13.2%
Underwater %0.4%
−96.3 pp
96.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.1%
+25.0 pp
9.2%
Bot %3.5%
−5.6 pp
9.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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