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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 23:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$16K$9.6K
Holders307−64371
Trades3.2K−5913.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+10.4 pp
41.7%
Avg ROI1.3%
+3.0 pp
-1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−25.34×
×26.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−19.88×
×20.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.7K
+$12.3K
$9.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.03
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL41.3%
+136.8 pp
-95.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−89.4 pp
89.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.7%
+6.9 pp
68.8%
Bot %80.9%
+9.3 pp
71.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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