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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 02:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.2K−$14K$18K
Holders283−1284
Trades1.9K+2171.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−4.3 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI0.1%
−1.1 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.37
+5.56×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.28
+5.45×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
−$12.4K
$16.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.7%
−109.9 pp
24.2%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.5%
−5.4 pp
33.8%
Bot %44.1%
−4.3 pp
48.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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