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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 6?

data as of 2026-02-06 21:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$224−$1.2K$1.4K
Holders51+447
Trades170+29141
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
−3.1 pp
57.5%
Avg ROI4.1%
+2.0 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.77
+0.89×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.15
+1.26×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15
−$129
$144
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-49.5%
−61.0 pp
11.5%
Underwater %83.4%
+67.8 pp
15.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.0%
−22.9 pp
37.9%
Bot %15.0%
−21.7 pp
36.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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