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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 3?

data as of 2026-04-03 03:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$994−$13K$14K
Holders141+4893
Trades966+392574
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.5%
−51.6 pp
81.1%
Avg ROI52.2%
+49.5 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.00
+14.10×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.26
+14.38×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$46
−$1.9K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.00
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−111.4 pp
16.8%
Underwater %96.2%
+96.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.3%
+3.6 pp
14.7%
Bot %20.6%
+6.0 pp
14.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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