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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 06:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$77K+$71K$5.8K
Holders375+82293
Trades3.6K−453.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.6%
+16.6 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI14.2%
+11.3 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.88
−3.74×
×4.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−3.70×
×4.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.6K
+$25.1K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.8%
+98.2 pp
-82.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.2 pp
96.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.8%
+0.6 pp
63.2%
Bot %72.8%
+7.5 pp
65.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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