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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 06:03 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.1K−$7.3K$13K
Holders313+13300
Trades2.1K+5341.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−2.4 pp
50.3%
Avg ROI2.7%
+2.1 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.39
+6.70×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.11
+6.40×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.9K
−$7.3K
$13.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.4%
−128.5 pp
42.1%
Underwater %97.8%
+97.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.4%
−7.2 pp
29.7%
Bot %41.0%
−6.2 pp
47.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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