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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-03-03 21:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$46K+$11K$34K
Holders332−84416
Trades5.5K+2035.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
+9.6 pp
41.5%
Avg ROI5.5%
−5.6 pp
11.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.44
−59.01×
×59.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.47
−59.33×
×59.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.8K
−$5.5K
$32.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL109.8%
+207.8 pp
-98.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.2 pp
97.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.3%
+5.7 pp
79.6%
Bot %65.4%
−14.3 pp
79.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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