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Will "Netflix" be said at the Oscars?

data as of 2026-03-15 23:07 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K+$1.6K$42
Holders21−1334
Trades104−61165
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.4%
+29.5 pp
25.9%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−28.9 pp
28.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.91
−6.01×
×6.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−4.47×
×5.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18
−$15
$33
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.35
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL12.7%
+95.5 pp
-82.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.0%
−29.9 pp
39.9%
Bot %10.0%
−33.7 pp
43.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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