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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 13:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$5.2K$15K
Holders130−3133
Trades1.7K+361.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−1.2 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI1.3%
+1.2 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.41
+9.85×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.90
+9.31×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.6K
−$1.1K
$3.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.1%
−156.3 pp
66.2%
Underwater %98.3%
+98.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.0%
+3.5 pp
41.5%
Bot %52.2%
+2.9 pp
49.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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