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Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 The Open Championship?

data as of 2026-07-14 06:22 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
9¢
NO
90¢
YES
9¢
YesY-NNo
Position$124+$106$18
Holders17+161
Trades28+271
NO
90¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.1%
+26.1 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.9 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.44
+0.44×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.25
+0.25×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$14
$18
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-19.6%
−19.6 pp
0.0%
Underwater %76.7%
+76.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.0%
−80.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %30.8%
−69.2 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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