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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-16 16:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$124−$4.4K$4.5K
Holders56−47103
Trades420−61481
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.5%
−45.9 pp
83.3%
Avg ROI8.5%
+8.4 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.70
+8.72×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.05
+11.07×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$102
$102
Recent buyer dominance0.78
+0.02
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.8%
−92.6 pp
1.8%
Underwater %95.0%
+95.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.6%
+9.8 pp
9.8%
Bot %19.4%
+10.6 pp
8.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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