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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 04:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$7.1K$18K
Holders292+29263
Trades2.8K+2402.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
−9.2 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI-1.3%
−0.8 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×48.00
+47.53×
×0.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.44
+44.96×
×0.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.7K
+$299
$9.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.00
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−201.4 pp
103.7%
Underwater %95.9%
+95.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.6%
−6.7 pp
82.3%
Bot %75.3%
−4.6 pp
79.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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