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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3AM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 07:38 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.2K−$3.1K$5.3K
Holders47+542
Trades488+70418
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−6.9 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI-3.8%
−5.9 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.51
+8.82×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.72
+9.06×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$36
−$310
$346
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.0%
−140.7 pp
50.7%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.2%
−8.1 pp
67.3%
Bot %71.6%
−8.7 pp
80.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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