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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 02:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.6K+$1.9K$6.7K
Holders91+289
Trades1.1K−3371.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.8%
−2.0 pp
56.9%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−4.5 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×52.00
+51.51×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×42.19
+41.69×
×0.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$81
−$791
$872
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.11
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−189.8 pp
92.0%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.0%
−16.5 pp
45.5%
Bot %32.5%
−25.9 pp
58.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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