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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

data as of 2026-02-18 13:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.9K−$55K$62K
Holders417+124293
Trades3.6K+4303.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.7%
−23.1 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI4.3%
+5.7 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.06
+17.34×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.88
+15.15×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
−$12.4K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.04
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.7%
−129.7 pp
36.0%
Underwater %82.0%
+81.3 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.0%
−21.1 pp
79.1%
Bot %56.2%
−22.4 pp
78.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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