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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

data as of 2026-03-27 08:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K−$19K$48K
Holders436+7429
Trades5.4K−6216.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.0%
−13.0 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI3.9%
+4.0 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.71
+49.23×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×49.71
+49.21×
×0.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$28.2K
+$3.4K
$24.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−197.0 pp
99.1%
Underwater %97.1%
+91.5 pp
5.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.6%
−9.4 pp
84.1%
Bot %69.7%
−14.4 pp
84.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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