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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?

data as of 2026-07-17 09:39 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
8¢
NO
92¢
YES
8¢
YesY-NNo
Position$14−$285$299
Holders5−712
Trades23+419
NO
92¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.7%
−14.6 pp
75.3%
Avg ROI30.0%
+15.8 pp
14.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.54×
×1.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−0.45×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$152
$160
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.21
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL70.2%
+73.8 pp
-3.6%
Underwater %1.6%
−98.4 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.1%
−27.6 pp
27.7%
Bot %0.1%
−37.2 pp
37.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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