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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 01:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$8.8K$20K
Holders328−5333
Trades3.0K+1872.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
−0.0 pp
48.0%
Avg ROI1.2%
−0.5 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.42
+17.77×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.83
+16.17×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.3K
−$7.8K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.4%
−150.1 pp
55.7%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.2%
+4.0 pp
32.3%
Bot %49.6%
+1.2 pp
48.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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