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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 10:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K−$4.1K$8.1K
Holders152+51101
Trades1.4K−411.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.5%
−13.2 pp
54.8%
Avg ROI4.1%
+4.2 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.42
+32.76×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.64
+28.95×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$592
−$1.2K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
+0.15
0.66
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−146.2 pp
49.8%
Underwater %91.7%
+91.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.9%
−7.2 pp
70.1%
Bot %72.1%
−6.8 pp
78.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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