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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?

data as of 2026-04-12 05:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.5K−$3.1K$5.5K
Holders240+17223
Trades1.9K+5591.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.9%
−25.3 pp
67.1%
Avg ROI5.6%
+5.8 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.41
+17.65×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.75
+25.01×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$79
$82
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.07
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−135.7 pp
39.4%
Underwater %99.7%
+96.4 pp
3.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.6%
+0.4 pp
23.2%
Bot %23.6%
+6.7 pp
17.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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