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Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week?

data as of 2026-07-13 07:19 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
11¢
NO
90¢
YES
11¢
YesY-NNo
Position$29+$8$21
Holders3+21
Trades6+42
NO
90¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.7%
+41.7 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI-11.0%
−11.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.00
+4.00×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.30
+3.30×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
+$20
−$19
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-69.7%
−69.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %76.7%
+76.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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