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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 08:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$22K$4.8K
Holders260−62322
Trades2.4K−7023.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.0%
+17.5 pp
49.6%
Avg ROI27.3%
+31.5 pp
-4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.91
−4.74×
×5.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.90
−6.92×
×7.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.8K
+$17.3K
$4.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL13.0%
+99.9 pp
-86.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.7%
+1.0 pp
64.6%
Bot %70.2%
+1.5 pp
68.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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