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Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

data as of 2026-06-15 23:55 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 16, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
100¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$37−$909$946
Holders25−2045
Trades130+4882
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
−27.9 pp
82.7%
Avg ROI27.8%
+26.1 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.76
+1.82×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.53
+4.58×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$49
$49
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.1%
−86.8 pp
4.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.5 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.9%
+0.7 pp
63.2%
Bot %74.9%
+5.9 pp
69.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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