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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2026-01-12 00:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.0K+$1.5K$438
Holders35+1322
Trades200−90290
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.8%
+33.4 pp
22.5%
Avg ROI16.8%
+6.9 pp
9.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.04
−25.69×
×26.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
−23.04×
×24.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21
+$19
$2
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.42
0.58
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.9%
+92.0 pp
-95.8%
Underwater %51.3%
−46.0 pp
97.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.8%
−15.4 pp
33.2%
Bot %14.2%
−27.8 pp
42.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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