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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 09:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$31K+$9.5K$21K
Holders414+19395
Trades5.8K+6755.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
+2.7 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI0.5%
−2.2 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.47
−25.06×
×25.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.46
−23.98×
×24.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.4K
−$1.7K
$20.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL104.5%
+200.2 pp
-95.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.9 pp
97.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.0%
+6.2 pp
69.8%
Bot %76.9%
+7.7 pp
69.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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