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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

data as of 2026-01-20 09:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$17K$34K
Holders354+82272
Trades5.5K+1.4K4.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.9%
−7.2 pp
49.1%
Avg ROI1.0%
+1.7 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.03
+27.34×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.05
+27.35×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.7K
−$4.1K
$7.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
+0.07
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−141.9 pp
45.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.6%
−9.4 pp
76.0%
Bot %68.5%
−7.5 pp
76.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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