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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

data as of 2026-03-09 15:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$16K$32K
Holders412+99313
Trades3.9K+2173.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.0%
−12.3 pp
54.4%
Avg ROI11.7%
+11.3 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.87
+17.23×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.88
+16.24×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.8K
−$6.0K
$21.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−152.7 pp
58.9%
Underwater %97.6%
+97.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.0%
−3.9 pp
84.9%
Bot %82.8%
−3.3 pp
86.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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