Markets › detail

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-28 12:45 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$83$84
Holders5+41
Trades10+91
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.4%
−34.4 pp
71.8%
Avg ROI22.3%
+17.2 pp
5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−0.27×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−0.18×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$84
$84
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.19
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.6%
+22.6 pp
0.0%
Underwater %4.3%
+4.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.8%
+47.8 pp
0.0%
Bot %47.8%
−52.2 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse