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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-29 07:46 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.2K−$11K$12K
Holders92+4547
Trades289+90199
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.0%
−39.4 pp
75.3%
Avg ROI-7.4%
−24.8 pp
17.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.35
+37.52×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×39.54
+38.68×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$45
$48
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.41
0.59
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−115.1 pp
17.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.0%
+12.6 pp
32.4%
Bot %45.0%
+32.2 pp
12.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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