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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2AM ET

data as of 2026-02-13 07:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$33K$54K
Holders179−16195
Trades3.2K+1103.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.6%
−22.1 pp
64.6%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−0.2 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×328.30
+327.64×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×331.70
+331.06×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$985
−$5.4K
$6.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.00
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.7%
−152.7 pp
53.0%
Underwater %98.3%
+98.1 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.2%
+8.2 pp
71.0%
Bot %78.3%
+10.3 pp
68.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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