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Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-16?

data as of 2026-04-17 02:02 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.8K−$5.0K$14K
Holders175+66109
Trades475−26501
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.0%
−14.6 pp
56.6%
Avg ROI8.2%
+9.2 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.75
+9.21×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.15
+7.51×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$53
−$626
$679
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.9%
−142.6 pp
55.7%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.9%
−35.7 pp
47.6%
Bot %11.9%
−36.1 pp
48.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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