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Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 20?

data as of 2026-07-18 13:32 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
17¢
NO
83¢
YES
17¢
YesY-NNo
Position$76−$361$437
Holders16−420
Trades38−240
NO
83¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.1%
−41.2 pp
79.3%
Avg ROI22.0%
+17.2 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−0.05×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−0.15×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$49
−$199
$248
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.8%
+17.5 pp
-2.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−70.9 pp
70.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.1%
−42.8 pp
42.9%
Bot %9.4%
−59.6 pp
69.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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