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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

data as of 2026-02-15 01:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.0K−$18K$23K
Holders416+277139
Trades2.9K+2632.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.0%
−16.6 pp
54.6%
Avg ROI8.4%
+9.3 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.77
+12.02×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.71
+10.94×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.5K
−$3.3K
$7.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
+0.05
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.9%
−121.4 pp
29.5%
Underwater %85.6%
+81.1 pp
4.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.9%
−31.9 pp
72.8%
Bot %40.9%
−30.5 pp
71.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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