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Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

data as of 2026-03-23 15:49 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.2K+$2.5K$650
Holders25−3863
Trades123−172295
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.8%
−20.1 pp
62.0%
Avg ROI-1.7%
−16.5 pp
14.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−1.19×
×2.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−2.07×
×2.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$192
−$321
$128
Recent buyer dominance0.14
−0.86
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL16.1%
+83.5 pp
-67.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−71.3 pp
71.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.7%
−12.1 pp
39.9%
Bot %28.2%
−13.9 pp
42.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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