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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2PM ET

data as of 2025-09-11 18:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.2K−$15K$19K
Holders54+2430
Trades660+126534
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.5%
−9.9 pp
55.4%
Avg ROI20.4%
+11.3 pp
9.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.00
+16.20×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.92
+14.19×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$150
−$2.1K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.07
−0.89
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.7%
−129.2 pp
36.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.9 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.9%
+9.1 pp
58.8%
Bot %68.7%
+8.5 pp
60.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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