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Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

data as of 2026-01-23 07:16 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13K−$152K$165K
Holders829+389440
Trades13K+5.5K7.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.6%
−45.5 pp
77.2%
Avg ROI95.2%
+87.0 pp
8.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.17
+1.24×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.94
+2.00×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$343
$345
Recent buyer dominance0.59
−0.10
0.69
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.2%
−82.9 pp
5.7%
Underwater %72.0%
+62.2 pp
9.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.9%
−43.0 pp
56.8%
Bot %14.1%
−46.3 pp
60.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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