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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7PM ET

data as of 2025-07-02 21:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.1K−$3.3K$10K
Holders45+2619
Trades428+141287
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−5.5 pp
55.6%
Avg ROI9.4%
+11.5 pp
-2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.42
+9.81×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.79
+9.18×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$73
−$497
$570
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.9%
−161.4 pp
71.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.9%
−28.8 pp
62.6%
Bot %33.7%
−28.9 pp
62.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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