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Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?

data as of 2026-05-15 19:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$252−$505$757
Holders25+178
Trades136+10036
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.7%
−31.5 pp
75.2%
Avg ROI0.8%
−0.3 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.03×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×38.10
+37.16×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
+$1.1K
−$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−106.2 pp
8.2%
Underwater %51.3%
+51.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.9%
−44.0 pp
71.9%
Bot %27.9%
−44.0 pp
71.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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