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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 10:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$6.7K$21K
Holders456+83373
Trades4.0K−44.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.9%
−27.6 pp
56.6%
Avg ROI4.7%
−0.9 pp
5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.45
+39.92×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.15
+34.64×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.7K
−$1.6K
$15.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.09
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−191.8 pp
94.7%
Underwater %92.5%
+92.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.5%
+1.7 pp
54.8%
Bot %56.2%
+1.6 pp
54.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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