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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9PM ET

data as of 2025-11-17 02:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$12K$5.8K
Holders70−2595
Trades923−65988
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.8%
+11.6 pp
43.1%
Avg ROI3.3%
+5.6 pp
-2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−11.73×
×12.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−12.92×
×13.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.3K
+$2.3K
−$21
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.47
0.48
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL36.7%
+129.1 pp
-92.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.2%
+23.7 pp
39.5%
Bot %63.4%
+23.9 pp
39.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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