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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12PM ET

data as of 2026-01-08 17:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$61K+$41K$20K
Holders156−10166
Trades4.7K+3934.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.9%
+27.5 pp
41.4%
Avg ROI-10.0%
−11.7 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−32.73×
×33.39
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−29.45×
×30.15
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.0K
+$9.0K
−$11
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.64
0.32
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.0%
+139.8 pp
-96.8%
Underwater %12.3%
−85.2 pp
97.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.5%
−4.3 pp
76.8%
Bot %69.0%
−4.2 pp
73.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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