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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2025-09-23 22:48 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$117−$216$333
Holders8+35
Trades28028
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate20.5%
−45.4 pp
65.9%
Avg ROI-12.0%
−12.5 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.94
+2.84×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.24
+2.22×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20
−$12
$32
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.29
0.60
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.9%
−67.1 pp
-1.8%
Underwater %94.3%
+9.3 pp
85.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.9%
+5.8 pp
80.1%
Bot %85.9%
−14.1 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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